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100%: Nassim Nicholas Taleb: The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: ´On Robustness and Fragility´: Incerto, Book 2 , Hörbuch, Digital, 1, 948min (ISBN: 9781984841582) Random House Audio, in Englisch, auch als Hörbuch.Nur diese Ausgabe anzeigen…
86%: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas: The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) (ISBN: 9780812973815) 2010, 2. Ausgabe, in Englisch, Broschiert.Nur diese Ausgabe anzeigen…
79%: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas: The Black Swan: Second Edition : The Impact of the Highly Improbable: with a New Section: on Robustness and Fragility (ISBN: 9781400063512) 2007, Erstausgabe, in Englisch, Broschiert.Nur diese Ausgabe anzeigen…
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75%: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas: Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility") (ISBN: 9780679604181) in Englisch, Broschiert.Nur diese Ausgabe anzeigen…
The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: ´On Robustness and Fragility´: Incerto, Book 2 , Hörbuch, Digital, 1, 948min
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Bester Preis: Fr. 9.63 (€ 9.95)¹ (vom 14.04.2019)1
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: On Robustness and Fragility (Incerto) (2010)
~EN PB USISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, vermutlich in Englisch, Random House Publishing Group, Taschenbuch, gebraucht, guter Zustand.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, PGGEN BOOKS [84123424], Newtown Square, PA, U.S.A.
This book is clean and in good shape; the pages and binding/spine are intact. This book does not have highlighting, notes, underlining, but there is very minor sticker residue on the back cover. There aren´t any stickers or stamps on this book. Great customer service! Your satisfaction is our priority! Books.
This book is clean and in good shape; the pages and binding/spine are intact. This book does not have highlighting, notes, underlining, but there is very minor sticker residue on the back cover. There aren´t any stickers or stamps on this book. Great customer service! Your satisfaction is our priority! Books.
2
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The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto)
~EN USISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, vermutlich in Englisch, 2. Ausgabe, Random House Publishing Group, gebraucht, guter Zustand.
Lieferung aus: Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika, Versandkosten nach: DEU.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Wonder Book.
Random House Publishing Group. Used - Good. Good condition. 2nd edition. A copy that has been read but remains intact. May contain markings such as bookplates, stamps, limited notes and highlighting, or a few light stains. Bundled media such as CDs, DVDs, floppy disks or access codes may not be included.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Wonder Book.
Random House Publishing Group. Used - Good. Good condition. 2nd edition. A copy that has been read but remains intact. May contain markings such as bookplates, stamps, limited notes and highlighting, or a few light stains. Bundled media such as CDs, DVDs, floppy disks or access codes may not be included.
3
The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility" (Incerto) (2010)
~EN PB USISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, vermutlich in Englisch, Random House Publishing Group, Taschenbuch, gebraucht, akzeptabler Zustand.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Textbooks_Source [65658244], Columbia, MO, U.S.A.
Ships in a BOX from Central Missouri! May not include working access code. Will not include dust jacket. Has used sticker(s) and some writing or highlighting. Ships same or next business day. UPS shipping for most packages, (Priority Mail for AK/HI/APO/PO Boxes). Books.
Ships in a BOX from Central Missouri! May not include working access code. Will not include dust jacket. Has used sticker(s) and some writing or highlighting. Ships same or next business day. UPS shipping for most packages, (Priority Mail for AK/HI/APO/PO Boxes). Books.
4
The Black Swan (2010)
~EN PB NWISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, vermutlich in Englisch, Random House LCC US, Taschenbuch, neu.
Lieferung aus: Deutschland, Sofort lieferbar.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible.' For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb 'The most prophetic voice of all.'-GQ Praise for The Black Swan '[A book] that altered modern thinking.'-The Times (London) 'A masterpiece.'-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail 'Idiosyncratically brilliant.'-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times 'The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.'-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate '[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.'-The Wall Street Journal 'Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.'-Financial Times 'Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.'-The New York Times Book Review, Taschenbuch, 01.05.2010.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible.' For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb 'The most prophetic voice of all.'-GQ Praise for The Black Swan '[A book] that altered modern thinking.'-The Times (London) 'A masterpiece.'-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail 'Idiosyncratically brilliant.'-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times 'The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.'-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate '[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.'-The Wall Street Journal 'Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.'-Financial Times 'Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.'-The New York Times Book Review, Taschenbuch, 01.05.2010.
5
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The Black Swan (2010)
~EN PB NWISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, vermutlich in Englisch, Quadrangle Books, Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika, Taschenbuch, neu.
Lieferung aus: Schweden, Versandkosten nach: DEU.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, h:strom - Text & Kultur AB / Antikvariat & Bokhandel.
Publisher: Random House US. Utg. 2010. Trade Paperback. 444 p. This book is brand new. Language: Engelska --- Information regarding the book: A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. We have this book in our store house - please allow for a couple of extra days for delivery.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, h:strom - Text & Kultur AB / Antikvariat & Bokhandel.
Publisher: Random House US. Utg. 2010. Trade Paperback. 444 p. This book is brand new. Language: Engelska --- Information regarding the book: A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible. For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. We have this book in our store house - please allow for a couple of extra days for delivery.
6
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Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable: With A New Section: "On Robustness And Fragility" Second Edition (2010)
~EN PB USISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, vermutlich in Englisch, Random House Trade Paperbacks, Taschenbuch, gebraucht, guter Zustand.
Lieferung aus: Kanada, Versandkosten nach: DEU.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Bytown Bookery.
Random House Trade Paperbacks. Near Fine. 2010. Paperback. 081297381X . Trade Paperback in Near Fine condition. Tight, bright & unmarked with light corner bumping and cover edgewear. "A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yetcauses massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Talebshows in a playful way that black swan events explain almost everything aboutour world. "; 8.0 X 6.3 X 1.2 inches; 480 pages .
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Bytown Bookery.
Random House Trade Paperbacks. Near Fine. 2010. Paperback. 081297381X . Trade Paperback in Near Fine condition. Tight, bright & unmarked with light corner bumping and cover edgewear. "A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yetcauses massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Talebshows in a playful way that black swan events explain almost everything aboutour world. "; 8.0 X 6.3 X 1.2 inches; 480 pages .
7
The Black Swan: Second Edition (2007)
~EN NWISBN: 9781400063512 bzw. 1400063515, vermutlich in Englisch, Penguin Random House, neu.
Lieferung aus: Schweiz, Versandfertig innert 6 - 9 Werktagen.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible.' For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb 'The most prophetic voice of all.'-GQ Praise for The Black Swan '[A book] that altered modern thinking.'-The Times (London) 'A masterpiece.'-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail 'Idiosyncratically brilliant.'-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times 'The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.'-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate '[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.'-The Wall Street Journal 'Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.'-Financial Times 'Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.'-The New York Times Book Review, gebundene Ausgabe, 01.01.2007.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible.' For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb 'The most prophetic voice of all.'-GQ Praise for The Black Swan '[A book] that altered modern thinking.'-The Times (London) 'A masterpiece.'-Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail 'Idiosyncratically brilliant.'-Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times 'The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.'-Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate '[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.'-The Wall Street Journal 'Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into.'-Financial Times 'Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.'-The New York Times Book Review, gebundene Ausgabe, 01.01.2007.
8
The Black Swan
EN NWISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, in Englisch, Quadrangle Books, Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika, neu.
Lieferung aus: Deutschland, zzgl. Versandkosten.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes .A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible."For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan.Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb"The most prophetic voice of all." -GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." - The Times (London)"A masterpiece." -Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." -Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate"[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." -The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into." - Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." -The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes .A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible."For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan.Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb"The most prophetic voice of all." -GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." - The Times (London)"A masterpiece." -Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." -Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate"[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." -The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into." - Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." -The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition.
9
The Black Swan
EN HC NWISBN: 9780812973815 bzw. 081297381X, in Englisch, Quadrangle Books, Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika, gebundenes Buch, neu.
Lieferung aus: Deutschland, Sofort lieferbar.
Examines the role of the unexpected--the Black Swan--in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes . A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." -GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." - The Times (London) "A masterpiece." -Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." -Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." -The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into." - Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." -The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition.
Examines the role of the unexpected--the Black Swan--in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes . A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the "impossible." For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, "On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb "The most prophetic voice of all." -GQ Praise for The Black Swan "[A book] that altered modern thinking." - The Times (London) "A masterpiece." -Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail "Idiosyncratically brilliant." -Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times " The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works." -Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate "[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy." -The Wall Street Journal "Hugely enjoyable-compelling . . . easy to dip into." - Financial Times "Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition." -The New York Times Book Review From the Hardcover edition.
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Incerto) (2007)
EN HC US FEISBN: 9781400063512 bzw. 1400063515, in Englisch, 366 Seiten, Random House, gebundenes Buch, gebraucht, Erstausgabe.
Lieferung aus: Vereinigte Staaten von Amerika, Usually ships in 1-2 business days.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Green_Earth_Books.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb “The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ Praise for The Black Swan “[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) “A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail “Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times “The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal “Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times “Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review, Hardcover, Ausgabe: 1, Label: Random House, Random House, Produktgruppe: Book, Publiziert: 2007-04-17, Freigegeben: 2007-04-17, Studio: Random House, Verkaufsrang: 18300.
Von Händler/Antiquariat, Green_Earth_Books.
The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes. A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan. Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb “The most prophetic voice of all.”—GQ Praise for The Black Swan “[A book] that altered modern thinking.”—The Times (London) “A masterpiece.”—Chris Anderson, editor in chief of Wired, author of The Long Tail “Idiosyncratically brilliant.”—Niall Ferguson, Los Angeles Times “The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works.”—Daniel Kahneman, Nobel laureate “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him through the follies of confirmation bias [and] narrative fallacy.”—The Wall Street Journal “Hugely enjoyable—compelling . . . easy to dip into.”—Financial Times “Engaging . . . The Black Swan has appealing cheek and admirable ambition.”—The New York Times Book Review, Hardcover, Ausgabe: 1, Label: Random House, Random House, Produktgruppe: Book, Publiziert: 2007-04-17, Freigegeben: 2007-04-17, Studio: Random House, Verkaufsrang: 18300.
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